2019 How to Read the Rankings and Player Capsules

How to Read the Rankings and Player Capsules

Hitter/pitcher split: I decided to split the hitter and pitcher rankings. I think the evaluation process for each player is different and it really just makes sense to rank them against each other. As John Calvagno noted in his portion of the strategy section, you should favor hitters over pitchers, especially early on. Still, you will have to decide when to ‘fold in’ the pitchers and start thinking about drafting them. For me, I’d like to get through the first two tiers of batters before taking a tier 1 pitcher. Then two more tiers of hitters before thinking about some of the tier 2 pitchers.

Tiers: I think of tiers as buckets of players that I like similarly. It works better than ordinal ranking because the “distance” between Nick Madrigal and Nico Hoerner is (to me) greater than the distance between Madrigal and India or Gorman. Feel free to swap around guys freely within a tier based on your preferences.

Position: For hitters, I’ve listed the position they’ve been playing in the pro debut. This is not necessarily the position that the will stick at. A lot of the SS will wind up playing elsewhere. I’ve tried to include my thoughts on future defensive home in the player capsules

Blue: This is our proprietary Baseball Farm “blueberry” stat. It ranks a hitter or pitcher’s performance based on the percentile he performed during the prior season. For hitters, it shows AVG-OBP-SLG-SB-AB. For pitchers it shows SO-K/BB-ERA-WHIP-HR/9-IP

Advanced stats: These are publicly available stats taken from Fangraphs

Scouting grades: These use Fangraphs publicly available scouting grades as a starting point (where available). I do tweak the grades based on my observations and other scouting reports. Also some scouting grades I had to invent whole cloth just because they aren’t publicly available anywhere. I combine “game power” and “raw power” into a single “power” scouting grade just because this is how I think about things. The high end “power” grade is usually a batter’s high end “raw power”.

Risk: This chart explains how Baseball Farm applies its risk grades to players:

Upside/downside projections: The upside projection assumes everything breaks right and the player maxes out each potential scouting grade. The downside projection does the opposite. For more info on how the 20-80 scouting scale translates to MLB performance, see this invaluable article from Kiley McDaniel at Fangraphs.