Age: 20 yr, Weight: 215 lbs, Height: 6-3
School: Ballard (KY) HS
MLB Draft: Round 1, Overall: 10
Current Level: AAA, ETA: 2020
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Former four-tool athlete is looking more like a five-tool guy with all-star upside.
The poster child for the “always bet on the athlete” mantra that permeates prospect circles, Jo Adell has been on a steady upwards ascension since being taken 10th overall in 2017. Seen as a raw prospect with a high ceiling at the time of draft, Adell is already knocking on the doors of the majors at just 20 years old. While the swing and miss questions that dogged him as a draft prospect haven’t fully been answered, what he’s done at levels he was very young for is downright spectacular. Nobody questions that he will hit enough to make use of his other very loud tools.
A 60 or better runner coming out, Adell looks more like a 55 runner as he’s begun to fill out his athletic frame. The 30-steal talk we heard the last few years seems unlikely to me. He’s more likely a 10-15 type of guy. But with his good weight has come an increase in power. Adell looks to have 70 grade raw power now and should be a threat for 30 home runs annually. While his spray chart isn’t filled with the monster bombs you’d expect from a 70 grade raw power bat, it’s worth remembering Adell is still only 20 years old playing way above his age level. The average flyball distance indicates he has plenty of pop and with time he should raise his game power closer to his raw. Adell is unlikely to ever compete for a batting title and will likely be a 25-30 percent strikeout rate player during his prime. But he’s shown an impressive ability to barrel up the ball and has shown an at least average hit tool that has even flashed above average. Much better than the 40-45 grades he got at time of draft. Considering how young he is, it might even be too early to write off yet another jump with the hit tool.
Defensively, Adell is a good runner once he gets under way with better long speed than quickness. His arm doesn’t quite fit the the right field prototype and he doesn’t quite have the center field instincts. But he’s adequate at all three spots and has plenty of bat to play at whichever position is open. I’d expect him to play a bit at all three positions in his early years before settling in to left field in his late twenties.
Overall, Adell is a legitimate five-tool prospect with no real weaknesses and a massive carrying tool in his power. I could easily see a prime slashline of .270/.360/.515 with 30 home runs and 15 stolen bases while even logging a few games in center field. He has the upside to have a few truly monstrous MVP type years in that mix. As such, he’s a locked in top five overall prospect and the class of this system.