Supplemental Draft Strategies (by John Calvagno)
John runs his own live amateur scouting site, Notes from the Sally, where he scouts young MiLB players in the South Atlantic League (A-Full) and Appalachian League (Rookie).
Supplemental draft strategies vary based on size of league and whether you’re competing. The general rule of thumb though is hitting over pitching and I subscribe to this. At least in the early rounds because there’s so much volatility with pitchers. Watch/listen for pitchers showing improved command/stuff in double-A and pounce then. That’s often the best way to acquire arms.
Something else to consider: college players tend to get to the big leagues faster than prep (high school) or J2 (International) players, thus offering high floors. But outside of the top handful of college players, most offer a limited ceiling. While many of the younger players are more volatile, they tend to offer enormous ceiling and non existent floors. I find it best to have a balance between the two. And the high ceiling/low floor types tend to make good trade pieces.
One last thought. What do you do if you’re limited to 15-20 prospects by your league rules and your MILB roster is currently full? It might be worth packaging a few picks and trading up for a top talent. Remember, in that scenario, you’ll have to drop a player for every player you add.